I am an economist with experience in macroeconomic policy, public finance, forecasting, and country-risk assessment. I currently serve as Chief Economist at Mexico’s Ministry of Finance, where I lead macroeconomic projections, fiscal planning, and policy analysis for the federal government.
Before joining the Ministry of Finance, I worked at the Institute of International Finance, the International Monetary Fund, the Inter-American Development Bank, and the Central Bank of Mexico.
I hold an M.A. in Economics from El Colegio de México and a B.A. in Economics from UNAM.
Experience
Head of Economic Planning Unit (Chief Economist) (Feb 2022–present), Mexico’s Ministry of Finance, Economic Planning Unit, Mexico City.
Director of Macroeconomic Analysis (Jan 2020–Feb 2022), Mexico’s Ministry of Finance, Economic Planning Unit, Mexico City.
Director of Economic Planning (Jan 2019–Dec 2019), Mexico’s Ministry of Finance, Economic Planning Unit, Mexico City.
Senior Research Analyst (May 2018–Dec 2018), Institute of International Finance, Economic Research Department, Washington, D.C.
Research Analyst (Mar 2014–Mar 2018), International Monetary Fund, Western Hemisphere Department, Washington, D.C.
Research Consultant (Mar 2011–Feb 2014), Inter-American Development Bank, Research Department, Washington, D.C.
Financial Researcher (Mar 2009–Feb 2011), Central Bank of Mexico, Directorate of Macroeconomic Analysis, Mexico City.
Publications
The Macroeconomic Impact of Fuel Price Controls and Excise Tax Subsidies in Mexico, with Axel Miranda. Working Paper, 2024.
The Price and Welfare Effects of The Value-Added Tax: Evidence from Mexico, with Alejandro M. Werner. IMF Working Paper, 18(240), 2018.
Collateral Damage: Dollar Strength and Emerging Markets’ growth, with Pablo F. Druck and Nicolas E. Magud. The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, 43(January), 97–117, 2018. (working paper)
Hollowing Out: The Channels of Income Polarization in the United States, with Ali Alichi and Daniela Muhaj. IMF Working Paper, 17(244), 2017.
On the Credibility of Inflation Targeting Regimes in Latin America, with Andrew Powell and Pilar Tavella. Economia: Brookings Institution Press, 18(2), 2018. (working paper) (IDB working paper)
Women are Key for Future Growth: Evidence from Canada, with Bengt Petersson and Kotaro Ishi. IMF Working Paper, 17(166), 2017.
Advancing Financial Development in Latin America and the Caribbean, with Dyna Heng, Anna Ivanova, Uma Ramakrishnan, Joyce Cheng Wong. IMF, Regional Economic Outlook: Western Hemisphere, October 2015. (working paper)
Sovereign Defaults: Has the Current System Resulted in lasting (Re)solutions?, with Andrew Powell, Guido Sandleris, Pilar Tavella. Universidad Torcuato Di Tella Business School Working Papers, March 2015.
Commodity Price Booms and Breaks: Detection, Magnitude and Implications for Developing Countries, with Andrew Powell. IDB Working Papers, No. IDB-WP-444, January 2014.
Forecasting Inflation Risks in Latin America, with Andrew Powell. IDB Technical Note, No. IDB-TN-403, June 2012.
The Evolution of Cooperation in a Psychological Environment. El Colegio de Mexico, Masters Dissertation, June 2008.
Other collaborations
Mapping Income Polarization in the United States, IMF Blog (May 2018).
Global GVAR Modelling Database, GVAR data (2013 Vintage).